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Thomson Grove

Yio Chu Kang Road · District 26 · Outside Central Region (OCR) · Freehold

Thomson Grove is a condominium development in District 26 (OCR). Based on 21 URA-recorded transactions from 20222026, its median price is $2,358,888, with prices moving about -1.5%/yr.

The verdict · for an investor

Thomson Grove · Condominium · District 26 · Freehold

Thomson Grove is a mixed picture — a real case, with real caveats.

There's a genuine case here, but weigh the caveats below before you commit — the fundamentals and the record don't all point the same way.

HeadwindsMixedTailwinds

Why it's pushing up

What matters most for you

  • ConvenientMRT about 2 min on foot; 1 supermarket, 1 food & retail spot nearby.
  • Rentablesteady rental demand; transport and schools nearby keep tenants coming.

And what makes it better

  • A Primary-1 priority school within 1km — a real family draw.
  • Inside Woodlands Regional Centre — a government-committed long-term catalyst.

What's holding it back

  • The 5-bed has lagged (−6.0%).
  • The market's near the top of its cycle — mind your entry price.
  • Larger units — entry starts around $2.68M, not an easy first step.

Should I buy?

A mixed picture

There's a case — weigh the caveats first.

Rental yield

no rent record yet

Priced vs nearby

Above 2 of 3

mid-priced for the immediate area.

See if it fits my budget →

Independent research, not advice. A fair price still isn’t automatically a good buy — the call is always yours.

The priceIs my price fair?

Pick your exact unit — then check your price

Your unit’s exact size

Every real size that has sold here (URA caveats). Pick yours — or the closest.

~$1,616/sqft
18 sold here

What 1,485 sqft (5-bed) units go for here

$2.26Mmiddle ~$2.40M$2.54M

The price they’re asking

Type the price they’re quoting — we’ll judge it against what this exact size really sold for. No opinion until you do.

Recent 1,485 sqft sales

Dec 20251,485 sqft · fl 01-05$2.68M$1,807 psf
Nov 20251,485 sqft · fl 01-05$2.08M$1,401 psf
Aug 20251,485 sqft · fl 01-05$2.60M$1,751 psf
The rentWhat would it earn?

What it rents for — and if that works

Not yet renting here — so we’ve estimated from what comparable condos nearby rent for (~$3.81 psf/mo). Change it if you know better.

The rent you’d get

/mo
2.8% gross yield
Middlingtypical for prime Singapore. The rent offsets some cost, but the returns ride on price growth, not yield. At a typical 75% loan, the rent covers ~67% of the mortgage — you’d top up ~$2,750/mo from your pocket.
Our readSo what should I do?

The price to fight for — and the endgame

No agent, no listing, no one paying us — so we’ll say it plainly, whichever side of the table you’re on, for the size you picked.

If you’re buying

$2.40M

Aim at the middle or below. A patient buyer has been getting closer to $2.32M.

If you’re selling

~$2.51M

List at the top of fair; realistic close is $2.40M–$2.43M unless it’s a high floor.

Why no rush either way: Seller’s Stamp Duty means a buyer can’t sell penalty-free for ~4 years — so you’re holding regardless. That’s your leverage to negotiate down now, not overpay.

The reality check — does the gain even make sense?

Likely worth then$3.23M
Paper gain+$0.83M

Our blunt read: ~$825k over 10 years at this project’s own pace. It works — but forward from a cycle top, treat it as a maybe, not a promise. This is our own POV, not a forecast — the pace is the project’s own (~3.0%/yr), and past pace never promises the future.

Built from URA transactions for Thomson Grove — an opinion to decide and negotiate with, never a valuation and never financial advice.

If you’re buying — the outlook

Thomson Grove

Outside Central Region (OCR) · District 26 · ~$1,436 psf

own price

Prices are near the top of the cycle, and the government is still cooling it — but cheap loans and steady immigration are holding them up. For Thomson Grove, its own prices have been flat lately. Over a 4-year hold, expect sideways-to-modest — not a big jump.

◀ HeadwindsTailwinds ▶

On balance, the wind is roughly even.

!

What it means for you: At ~$1,436 psf, Thomson Grove is priced below similar new projects nearby — good value against its peers. Its own prices are only creeping up (~-1.5%/yr over ~4 years). The real watch-out: about 3,789 brand-new units come up for sale in this district by 2026 — direct competition for when you sell. Buying near the top of the cycle just as that lands can cap your gains. So — use the incoming supply as your reason to negotiate the price down now, don't overpay, and plan to hold past the 4-year stamp-duty window before selling.

The signals behind it

Dots show how much weight each one carries.

Where we are in the cycle

Holds prices back

Prices are near the top — up 33% in 5 years, well above the 4.6%/year long-run pace. Less room left to climb.

This project (Thomson Grove)

Holds prices back

Thomson Grove's own prices have softened — about -14% in the latest year.

Your area vs the rest

Holds prices back

The suburbs (OCR) grew fastest since 2004 — a lot of that gain is already in, so there's more risk it cools from here.

Government cooling measures

Holds prices back

The government is still cooling the market — the latest was SSD back to 4 years at 16/12/8/4% (2025). That caps how fast prices can run.

Home-loan rates

Supports prices

Loan rates are cheap right now (~1.08%) and falling. Easy to carry — which supports prices, but also means more buyers competing with you.

Prices vs salaries

Supports prices

Against salaries, prices aren't expensive by past standards — people can still afford to buy.

New people moving in

Supports prices

Lots of new people keep moving to Singapore (non-residents up ~16% over 5 years) — steady demand for homes and rentals.

New supply nearby

Holds prices back

About 3,789 new units are still unsold in this district, with the first big batch finishing around 2026 — plenty of fresh supply that can hold prices and rents back.

3.8k units
New launches selling

Supports prices

New launches in this district are selling well — 6 recent ones are around 100% sold, so buyer demand here is healthy right now.

100% sold
New land being released

Holds prices back · small effect

The government keeps releasing a lot of new land (~9,200 units this half-year) — more future supply that can weigh on prices years down the road.

Foreign buyers

About neutral · small effect

Foreign buyers are almost gone since the 60% tax (~1.4% of buyers), but the suburbs never leaned on them — so it barely affects you here.

1.4% foreign
Rents (Singapore-wide)

About neutral

Rents across Singapore have flattened out lately.

Money ready to spend

Supports prices · small effect

There's more CPF money sitting ready to put toward a home than a few years back — a small support in the background.

The wider economy

Supports prices · small effect

The economy is growing (5% last year) and jobs are steady (1.9% unemployment) — no alarm bells.

Building costs

Supports prices · small effect

Building costs are high (up ~39% since 2010) and still creeping up — developers can't build cheap, which puts a floor under new-launch prices.

Supports pricesHolds prices backNeutral

Built from real public data (URA price index back to 1975, plus rates, immigration, rents, the economy). It prepares you — it never promises a price.

How far could it go — and when?

Is the price high? ~$1,436 psf is ~35% below similar nearby projects (~$2,203). good value

(The whole suburbs average is ~$1,534 psf — but that lumps in older stock, so we compare like with like, not against that.)

What’s realistic here? Its own record and its real neighbours — not the market.

Thomson Grove has grown ~-1.5%/yr over ~4 years. Similar nearby: Springleaf Residence -0.8%, Lentor Modern 4.2%, Lentor Hills Residences 3.6%, Lentor Mansion -0.4%, Hillock Green 6.6% — a -0.86.6%/yr spread (most around 3.6%).

market ~4.6%
Thomson -1.5%
0%/yr4%8%/yr

You can’t sell for ~4 years without a penalty. Seller’s Stamp Duty is 16/12/8/4% in years 1–4, then 0% — so the honest question is what happens from year 4 on.

What price per sqft are you hoping to sell at one day?

$psf
Unlikely at this pace
Sell earliest (yr 4):at its own ~-1.5%/yr, ~$1,352/sqft by year 4 — still short of $1,650.
Likely hits it:at ~-1.5%/yr it’s not trending up — it may never reach $1,650 on its own.
Best case:if it ran like its best neighbour (Hillock Green, ~6.6%/yr), about year 3.

Our own read, not financial advice. We don’t predict a price — we show what your target would need, and when, against what this project and its real neighbours have actually done.

Median price

$2,358,888

2022–2026 (URA)

Appreciation

-1.5%/yr

median trend

Gross yield

rental n/a

Lease

Freehold

Thomson Grove median price per sqft, by year

2022$1,528 psf
2023$1,521 psf-0.5%
2024$1,562 psf+2.7%
2025$1,663 psf+6.5%
2026$1,436 psf-13.7%

Median PSF of actual URA transactions each year, with year-on-year change.

Does Thomson Grove fit your budget?

GrowKaki models the real take-home — net of stamp duty, agent fee, mortgage interest and CPF — for the exact unit your budget reaches, then hands you to an agent when you’re ready.

Plan your purchase →

Units for sale at Thomson Grove

Questions people ask about Thomson Grove

Is Thomson Grove freehold or leasehold?

Thomson Grove is a freehold development in District 26 (Outside Central Region (OCR)). Freehold means there is no lease running down.

How much does Thomson Grove cost per square foot?

Recent transactions at Thomson Grove are around $1,436 psf. Across its record, transacted prices range from $2,080,000 to $4,180,000.

Which primary schools are near Thomson Grove?

Within 1 km (top Primary 1 priority): Anderson Primary School (0.63 km). Within 1–2 km: Mayflower Primary School, Chij St. Nicholas Girls' School, Ang Mo Kio Primary School. Distances are straight-line — the basis MOE uses for P1 priority.

Which MRT station is nearest Thomson Grove?

The nearest MRT is Lentor MRT, about 100 m away (straight-line).

Has Thomson Grove gone up in value?

Across 21 URA-recorded transactions (2022–2026), prices at Thomson Grove have moved about -1.5% a year on average. That is a past record, not a forecast.

What condos are comparable to Thomson Grove?

Within a short walk: Lentor Hills Residences, Lentor Modern, Hillock Green, The Calrose, Lentoria. These are the honest yardstick for its price and growth — closer and more alike than any whole-market average.

Is Thomson Grove a good buy?

Thomson Grove sits in Outside Central Region (OCR). Whether it is right for you depends on your budget, purpose and holding period — GrowKaki models the net take-home after stamp duty, agent fee and CPF. This is independent research, not advice, and a fair price is not automatically a good buy.

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