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The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill

Cairnhill Road · District 09 · Core Central Region (CCR) · Freehold

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill is an apartment development in District 09 (CCR). Based on 11 URA-recorded transactions from 20212026, its median price is $12,000,000, with prices moving about 2.2%/yr.

The verdict · for an investor

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill · Apartment · District 09 · Freehold

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill is a mixed picture — a real case, with real caveats.

There's a genuine case here, but weigh the caveats below before you commit — the fundamentals and the record don't all point the same way.

HeadwindsMixedTailwinds

Why it's pushing up

What matters most for you

  • ConvenientMRT about 9 min on foot; 12 supermarkets, 16 food & retail spots nearby.
  • Rentablesteady rental demand; transport and schools nearby keep tenants coming.

And what makes it better

  • Every unit type has risen — 5-bed +11.4% since 2021.
  • A Primary-1 priority school within 1km — a real family draw.

What's holding it back

  • The market's near the top of its cycle — mind your entry price.
  • Larger units — entry starts around $12.61M, not an easy first step.

Should I buy?

A mixed picture

There's a case — weigh the caveats first.

Rental yield

no rent record yet

Priced vs nearby

Priciest nearby

you pay for the fresh lease and the spot.

See if it fits my budget →

Independent research, not advice. A fair price still isn’t automatically a good buy — the call is always yours.

The priceIs my price fair?

Pick your exact unit — then check your price

Your unit’s exact size

Every real size that has sold here (URA caveats). Pick yours — or the closest.

~$4,907/sqft
6 sold here

What 3,057 sqft (large / penthouse) units go for here

$14.10Mmiddle ~$15.00M$15.90M

The price they’re asking

Type the price they’re quoting — we’ll judge it against what this exact size really sold for. No opinion until you do.

Recent 3,057 sqft sales

Jan 20253,057 sqft · fl 26-30$13.80M$4,514 psf
Jan 20243,057 sqft · fl 31-35$16.50M$5,397 psf
Jan 20243,057 sqft · fl 31-35$16.50M$5,397 psf
The rentWhat would it earn?

What it rents for — and if that works

Not yet renting here — so we’ve estimated from what comparable condos nearby rent for (~$5.95 psf/mo). Change it if you know better.

The rent you’d get

/mo
1.5% gross yield
Thina home to live in, not a rental earner — you're banking on price growth, not the rent. At a typical 75% loan, the rent covers ~35% of the mortgage — you’d top up ~$34,200/mo from your pocket.
Our readSo what should I do?

The price to fight for — and the endgame

No agent, no listing, no one paying us — so we’ll say it plainly, whichever side of the table you’re on, for the size you picked.

If you’re buying

$15.00M

Aim at the middle or below. A patient buyer has been getting closer to $14.48M.

If you’re selling

~$15.66M

List at the top of fair; realistic close is $15.00M–$15.18M unless it’s a high floor.

Why no rush either way: Seller’s Stamp Duty means a buyer can’t sell penalty-free for ~4 years — so you’re holding regardless. That’s your leverage to negotiate down now, not overpay.

The reality check — does the gain even make sense?

Likely worth then$18.65M
Paper gain+$3.65M

Our blunt read: ~$3.65M over 10 years at this project’s own pace. It works — but forward from a cycle top, treat it as a maybe, not a promise. This is our own POV, not a forecast — the pace is the project’s own (~2.2%/yr), and past pace never promises the future.

Built from URA transactions for The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill — an opinion to decide and negotiate with, never a valuation and never financial advice.

If you’re buying — the outlook

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill

Core Central Region (CCR) · District 09 · ~$4,126 psf

own price

Prices are near the top of the cycle, and the government is still cooling it — but cheap loans and steady immigration are holding them up. For The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill, its own prices are still climbing. Over a 4-year hold, expect modest growth — not a big jump.

◀ HeadwindsTailwinds ▶

On balance, the wind is leaning to your favour.

!

What it means for you: At ~$4,126 psf, The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill is priced a bit above similar new projects nearby (~21% up) — you're paying a premium. Its own prices are only creeping up (~2.2%/yr over ~5 years). You'd also be buying near the top of the cycle, so entry price matters. So — negotiate, don't overpay, and plan to hold past the 4-year stamp-duty window before selling.

The signals behind it

Dots show how much weight each one carries.

Where we are in the cycle

Holds prices back

Prices are near the top — up 33% in 5 years, well above the 4.6%/year long-run pace. Less room left to climb.

This project (The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill)

Supports prices

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill's own prices are still climbing — about +9% in the latest year of sales.

Your area vs the rest

Supports prices

The prime districts (CCR) lagged the others since 2004 — more room to catch up.

Government cooling measures

Holds prices back

The government is still cooling the market — the latest was SSD back to 4 years at 16/12/8/4% (2025). That caps how fast prices can run.

Home-loan rates

Supports prices

Loan rates are cheap right now (~1.08%) and falling. Easy to carry — which supports prices, but also means more buyers competing with you.

Prices vs salaries

Supports prices

Against salaries, prices aren't expensive by past standards — people can still afford to buy.

New people moving in

Supports prices

Lots of new people keep moving to Singapore (non-residents up ~16% over 5 years) — steady demand for homes and rentals.

New supply nearby

About neutral

A moderate amount of new supply is coming to this district (~1,998 units).

2.0k units
New launches selling

Supports prices

New launches in this district are selling well — 8 recent ones are around 100% sold, so buyer demand here is healthy right now.

100% sold
New land being released

Holds prices back · small effect

The government keeps releasing a lot of new land (~9,200 units this half-year) — more future supply that can weigh on prices years down the road.

Foreign buyers

Holds prices back

Foreign buying has collapsed since the 60% tax — only ~1.4% of buyers now. For the prime market you're looking at, that's a real missing piece of demand.

1.4% foreign
Rents (Singapore-wide)

About neutral

Rents across Singapore have flattened out lately.

Money ready to spend

Supports prices · small effect

There's more CPF money sitting ready to put toward a home than a few years back — a small support in the background.

The wider economy

Supports prices · small effect

The economy is growing (5% last year) and jobs are steady (1.9% unemployment) — no alarm bells.

Building costs

Supports prices · small effect

Building costs are high (up ~39% since 2010) and still creeping up — developers can't build cheap, which puts a floor under new-launch prices.

Supports pricesHolds prices backNeutral

Built from real public data (URA price index back to 1975, plus rates, immigration, rents, the economy). It prepares you — it never promises a price.

How far could it go — and when?

Is the price high? ~$4,126 psf is ~21% above similar nearby projects (~$3,396). a bit high

(The whole prime average is ~$2,284 psf — but that lumps in older stock, so we compare like with like, not against that.)

What’s realistic here? Its own record and its real neighbours — not the market.

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill has grown ~2.2%/yr over ~5 years. Similar nearby: River Green 13.7%, The Avenir 2%, Irwell Hill Residences 1.7%, Kopar At Newton 3.1%, The Robertson Opus 5.6% — a 1.713.7%/yr spread (most around 3.1%).

market ~4.6%
The 2.2%
0%/yr4%8%/yr

You can’t sell for ~4 years without a penalty. Seller’s Stamp Duty is 16/12/8/4% in years 1–4, then 0% — so the honest question is what happens from year 4 on.

What price per sqft are you hoping to sell at one day?

$psf
Later — around year 7
Sell earliest (yr 4):at its own ~2.2%/yr, ~$4,501/sqft by year 4 — still short of $4,750.
Likely hits it:about year 7 at its own ~2.2%/yr pace.
Best case:if it ran like its best neighbour (River Green, ~13.7%/yr), about year 2.

Our own read, not financial advice. We don’t predict a price — we show what your target would need, and when, against what this project and its real neighbours have actually done.

Median price

$12,000,000

2021–2026 (URA)

Appreciation

2.2%/yr

median trend

Gross yield

rental n/a

Lease

Freehold

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill median price per sqft, by year

2021$3,705 psf
2022$4,239 psf+14.4%
2024$5,398 psf+27.3%
2025$3,776 psf-30%
2026$4,126 psf+9.3%

Median PSF of actual URA transactions each year, with year-on-year change.

Does The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill fit your budget?

GrowKaki models the real take-home — net of stamp duty, agent fee, mortgage interest and CPF — for the exact unit your budget reaches, then hands you to an agent when you’re ready.

Plan your purchase →

Units for sale at The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill

Questions people ask about The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill

Is The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill freehold or leasehold?

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill is a freehold development in District 09 (Core Central Region (CCR)). Freehold means there is no lease running down.

How much does The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill cost per square foot?

Recent transactions at The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill are around $4,126 psf. Across its record, transacted prices range from $8,600,000 to $16,500,000.

Which primary schools are near The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill?

Within 1 km (top Primary 1 priority): Anglo-chinese School (junior) (0.55 km). Within 1–2 km: Anglo-chinese School (primary), St. Margaret's School (primary), St. Joseph's Institution Junior. Distances are straight-line — the basis MOE uses for P1 priority.

Which MRT station is nearest The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill?

The nearest MRT is Newton MRT, about 570 m away (straight-line).

Has The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill gone up in value?

Across 11 URA-recorded transactions (2021–2026), prices at The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill have moved about 2.2% a year on average. That is a past record, not a forecast.

What condos are comparable to The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill?

Within a short walk: Klimt Cairnhill, Hilltops, Cairnhill Crest, The Laurels, Scotts Square. These are the honest yardstick for its price and growth — closer and more alike than any whole-market average.

Is The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill a good buy?

The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore Cairnhill sits in Core Central Region (CCR). Whether it is right for you depends on your budget, purpose and holding period — GrowKaki models the net take-home after stamp duty, agent fee and CPF. This is independent research, not advice, and a fair price is not automatically a good buy.

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